G-20, G-Cero

Does "G-Cero world."A G-5, G-7, G-8, G - 8 more 1 and G-20. But now, after two leaders international political science and economics, live a new world order, which they call "the world of G-Cero".

As BBC World, one of these two experts, Ian Bremmer, political science and Chair of Cabinet consultant expert group Eurasia, due to the financial crisis at the United States is no longer the leader of the global economy and no other nation or group of Nations, has the political and economic weight to replace him.

And instead of a forum for engagement, the G-20 avizora as a battleground between Nations that make up.

This thesis presents the Bremmer and Nouriel Roubini, Professor of Economics at the University of New York at .uu United States. and Chairman of the consultation: monitor in an article published in the journal Foreign Affairs.

But she had already advanced in the World Economic Forum in Davos the year in which the thesis has generated a wide-ranging debate.

Support Roubini and Bremmer is the Group of 20 industrialised and emerging countries "is on the path of obsolescence and the world is at a point that a single country nor a block of countries will be able to lead an international programme".

Live a new order where there is no leadership and is the first time that we experience something like that in time

Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group

Expert opinions, "the expanded group of big economies became a possible concert of Nations a cacophony of voices", which undermined international and avizora cooperation economic economic conflict and the possibility of another global crisis.

They United States lack of resources to continue to guarantee a security framework necessary flourish free market, free trade and capital mobility while Europe is fully occupied in their financial problems, and the Japan is linked to policies and national economic complex problems, thus "G - 3 in the United States, Europe, and the Japan is not a viable alternative.

Meanwhile, China has no interest to accept the burdens that come with international leadership and other emerging countries were confronted to the developed "on issues of vital importance for international coordinating macroeconomic, financial regulatory reform, trade policy and climate change".

The result?: the extension of a time of uncertainty will be wars of protectionism and trade conflicts.

Does not preclude an "effective" G -2 United States-China.

Many critical voices of the theory of Roubini and Bremmer say precisely the idea "world of G-Cero" is a "call for economic warfare", as defined by Laurence Parisot, President of the Organization of the main French employers (MEDEF, by its initials in English).

Statements by BBC World, Ian Bremmer defended Express: "I do not think that a world of G-Cero is good, but I am not a politician, but a science policy, and it is important to understand the surrounding world as it is and not, as we would like to be."

Bremmer said: "it is good that we've created the G-20, reflecting the aspirations, but it is not an effective forum and may never be. The only way the G-20 efficient is to establish expectations at a reasonable level and that no error, not to mention global cooperation is not happening. "We have problems with the climate with trade with currency and are not set."

The only way the G-20 efficient is to establish expectations at a reasonable level and that no error.

I. Bremmer

Of solutions, another critical Roubini and Bremmer thesis is that it censor but not proposed remedy, Il Sakong, head of the Organizing Committee of the Summit of the G-20 in southern Korea.

"The solution starts with understanding the position we find - he replied: Bremmer on BBC world. My first suggestion is modest in scope and focused on the goals that are possible targets. And then support the honest conversations.

Europeans, for example, "are they are honest about the current situation and rebalance the balance, it will take a high price to pay and we know who will have to pay the Bills."

As in the European Union "" worldwide is required calibration, exercise in which the developed world cannot continue consuming as he did;"" Dollar will not global currency, reserve currency remain as it was. But we lack of honesty.

On his vision for the future, Bremmer said that "G-Cero is not sustainable and that we see global conflict that won't increase the need for leadership."

And he said that "it is likely that the strongest regional associations, generated which is being in the States of the Persian Gulf in Eurasia with major, Russia and more coherent South America with a Brazil as nuclear body".

Very likely be generated more strong regional associations, which is being in the States of the Persian Gulf in Eurasia with major Russia and one in South America with a Brazil as nuclear body more coherent

I. Bremmer

Even when China to develop its economy in a successful way and United States reduce protectionism could see in a matter of a decade an effective of the United States and China, G-2. "If that fails, perhaps from developed countries cooperate more closely to defend the old liberal order".

Even if the key has added "will be reached Asia economic integration, security, and with the integration of China and the India probably increasingly competes".

In short, "G-Cero in coming years will become more problematic, but ultimately mechanism does not remain." "Everything is now that we live in a new order where there is no leadership and is the first time that we have something more experience in plenty of time," concluded Bremmer.

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